ztkut

0x2890ae...45c468@ttr24510909
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
35.0%
Total P&L
+$132
Trade Count
147
Sharpe Ratio
0.35
Sortino Ratio
0.79
Max Drawdown
1100.0%
ROI
1.2%
Profit Factor
38.71
Kelly Fraction
0.341
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
025.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?BUY99.9¢5.005Mar 5
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.1¢5.04Mar 5
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢6.054Mar 4
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢5.04Mar 4
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL98.9¢5.41Mar 4
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL99.9¢5Mar 4
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢46.99Feb 26
Warriors vs. GrizzliesBUY62.0¢360Feb 25
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢452.63Feb 25
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢508.577Feb 25
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢9.082Feb 25
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL98.8¢265.45Feb 25
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL99.8¢235.23Feb 25
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.2¢6.04Feb 25
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.8¢10.25Feb 25
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY98.9¢270.87Feb 24
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY99.9¢5.005Feb 24
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY99.9¢235.235Feb 24
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.8¢502.26Feb 24
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.7¢5.71Feb 24
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%99%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.38
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.8%
Win Consistency49.2%
Profit Factor0.65
Drawdown Resilience0.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53
Weekly Sharpe est.0.40
Trading Activity147 trades · 15 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2614d profit11d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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