ZXVWEDTWER

0x2ad748...e21ac7

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.1%

Total P&L

+$22

Trade Count

473

Sharpe Ratio

-2.01

Sortino Ratio

-1.85

Max Drawdown

9774.0%

ROI

0.7%

Profit Factor

2.62

Kelly Fraction

0.378

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	83.7¢	9.554	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	SELL	81.0¢	8.17	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	97.9¢	8.172	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	5.12	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	5.123	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.5¢	9.23	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	5.051	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.4¢	5.34	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.6¢	5.285	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	7.23	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.8¢	7.231	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.5¢	7.23	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.8¢	7.231	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	79.0¢	9.41	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	85.0¢	9.412	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.6¢	10.35	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.8¢	10.331	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	93.0¢	7.527	Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	79.2¢	10.12	Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	79.0¢	10.127	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.75

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.4%

Win Consistency37.0%

Profit Factor0.35

Drawdown Resilience0.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity473 trades · 38 active days

P&L Calendar

$50712d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue